Saturday, 14 July 2012

Who we can expect to see in each EF

Plenty of certainties, but lots of room for change too. As always, vault will be the most diverse- plenty of all-arounders are not brilliant at vault, and it falls by the wayside for them. Top 8 from prelims, only 2 per country.

VAULT

McKayla Maroney (USA)
Oksana Chusovitina (GER)
Sandra Izbasa (ROU)
Giulia Steingruber (SUI)
Yamilet Pena (DOM)
Ti Phan (VIE)
Valeria Maksyuta (ISR)
Janine Berger (GER)

The first six are all certainties barring crashed vaults. Ti Phan has been having troubles, and Pena of course often lands her Produnova vault to her back, if she does that in prelims she won't qualify.

The other two spots are more up for grabs. My guess is Valeria Maksyuta of Israel and Janine Berger of Germany. Two Russians exhibit two vaults (Musty has been confirmed to only present one), Grishina and Paseka. If Paseka does her amanar she should get in, but it's quite unstable so they may just save that for TF only. Ellie Black of Canada who I forgot about should be able to sneak in as well- both of them over Maksyuta and maybe Steingruber, or over Pena if she crashes and Ti Phan if she has trouble. An exciting EF because it's so diverse, but probably the most boring as first place is already known.

BEAM

Larisa Iordache (ROU)
Catalina Ponor (ROU)
Viktoria Komova (RUS)
Deng Linlin (CHN)
Aly Raisman (USA)
Sui Lu (CHN)
Jordyn Wieber (USA)
Elisabetta Preziosa (ITA)

Much less diverse- but more exciting of course. Mustafina's SV is I think too low to get her a place, but if there's a good few wobbles in prelims, she has a good chance. Grishina's is higher but she's almost guaranteed to have huge balance checks in prelims. It kills me not to put Vasiliki Millousi of Greece in, who stands a good chance too. Romania could get almost their entire team in here, but only two can qualify of course.

BARS

He Kexin (CHN)
Beth Tweddle (GBR)
Viktoria Komova (RUS)
Aliya Mustafina (RUS)
Elizabeth Seitz (GER)
Yao Jinnan (CHN)
Gabby Douglas (USA)
Natalia Kononenko (UKR)

Now this is the most exciting by far! I know that Gabby is a fabulous bar worker, but WAG is bursting with them now, and her SV is quite low in comparison. I predict she will get in only because Yuona Dufournet messes up, as she is now prone to doing, sadly. If He Kexin messes up and fails to qualify, Huang Qiushang should make it.

FLOOR

Larisa Iordache (ROU)
Sandra Izbasa (ROU)
Aly Raisman (USA)
Jordyn Wieber (USA)
Victoria Moors (CAN)
Ksenia Afansayeva (RUS)
Lauren Mitchell (AUS)
Vanessa Ferrari (ITA)

Yao Jinnan is another strong contender here. As is Cata, but Sandra's floor has a higher SV.

1 comment:

  1. Thank you
    this is awesome, what ive been trying to work out for days
    sarah

    ReplyDelete